On Mar 26, 7:41=A0pm, Jeffrey Turner <jtur...@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> wrote:
> The surge started working when Muqtada al Sadr declared a ceasefire.
> Now that it looks like that ceasefire is crumbling, I suspect the surge
> will go with it.
The war was always multi-sided, with al Qaeda, Sunni nationalists,
****ite extremists of various stripes, and an overlay of Iranian
sup****ted violence for most of the previously mentioned groups. The
first two have been mostly but not entirely neutralized and the third
has always been on the back burner. Sadr's militia has been whacked a
couple times and their most recent "cease fire" followed a period in
which much of their leader****p was killed or captured, causing the
movement to splinter into various poorly controlled factions.
You'll note that the Iraqi government feels confident enough to go
after the ****ite militias in Basra and east Baghdad in a limited way,
which wasn't the case a year ago. The reckoning with the militias was
always baked in. Ideally this is done by bringing the militias into
the security forces and bringing them under the control of the
government, but this isn't always possible.
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